Friday, July 24, 2009

Momentum Pattern I

I will from time to time post patterns as I see them.

The first one is a momentum pattern in Natural Gas Futures. These futures are fast, usually have iceberg orders in the market, and can spike really lovely.

Take a look at this 10-Tick chart

Globetrader_28

I highlighted such an iceberg order, which was renewing itself. The market had tested the daily low and failed a few ticks above at 3.704, it went up and someone tried to sell it down again. But there was a lot of buying in the market, which you see in that nice line formed in the chart. The buying relaxed a bit, only to spike through the line in the sand, which is your signal to go long.

NG can run 40 to 60 ticks, still 3.750 was resistance in premarket, so I was wary when I saw the divergent wave pattern. I took the hint and exited with +20.

 

Here is another example of the same pattern at the above mentioned resistance level

Globetrader_29

As you can see it first failed, but there was support 10 ticks below and the market continue to try for a break, which eventually happened. Never forget: It's a momentum pattern, so don't hesitate to bail, in case it fails and don't expect home-runs.